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Does Seattle Have a Drafting Problem?

Monday, March 26, 2018

 

 

 

With the importance of the draft to all NFL teams, I wanted to take a closer look at how Seattle has performed in player evaluation and ultimately, player selections in the last few drafts. Many will have you believe it’s been awful and they may be right. Many have said the success from 2010 to 2012 is purely down to Scot McCloughan’s ability to evaluate talent and the Seahawks have just rode the wave of his success. Lets find out if it’s true.

 

We know the drafting from 2010 to 2012 was elite, like the best 3 years any team has ever drafted elite. So I’m going to focus on 2013 onwards.

 

I am going to use a baseball analogy to grade each pick. Strike, single, double, triple and home run.  

 

2013 draft –

 

Round 2 - Christine Michael                         Single
Round 3 - Jordan Hill                                    Single
Round 4 - Chris Harper                                Strike
Round 5 - Jesse Williams                             Strike
Round 5 - Tharold Simon                              Single
Round 5 - Luke Willson                                 Triple
Round 6 - Spencer Ware,                             Strike
Round 7 - Ryan Seymour                              Strike
Round 7 - Ty Powell                                       Strike
Round 7 - Jared Smith                                   Strike
Round 7 - Michael Bowie                               Single

 

Of those players, 3 got cut before the 2013 season got underway, 2 never played in any season, 2 lasted 1 season, 3 lasted 2 seasons, one lasted 4 seasons and was extended for a year.

 

Strikes – 6

Singles – 4

Doubles – 0

Triples – 1

Homeruns – 0

 

Pretty underwhelming as I’m sure you’ll agree. None of the 2013 draft class remain on the roster, although Luke Willson may be resigned.

 

2014 draft –

 

Round 2 - Paul Richardson                             Triple

Round 2 – Justin Britt                                      Homerun

Round 4 – Cassius Marsh                               Double                       

Round 4 – Kevin Norwood                              Single

Round 4 – Kevin Pierre-Louis                         Single

Round 5 – Jimmy Staten                                 Strike

Round 6 – Garett Scott                                    Strike

Round 6 – Eric Pinkins                                    Single

Round 7 – Kiero Small                                    Strike

 

Of those players, 2 didn’t play a single season, 1 remains on the roster, 2 lasted 1 season, 1 lasted 2 seasons, 2 lasted 3 seasons, 1 lasted 4 seasons.

 

Strikes – 3

Singles – 3

Doubles – 1

Triples – 1

Homeruns – 1

 

Definitely a subpar draft but certainly better than 2013. Justin Britt is still on the roster and has worked out. Paul Richardson could be classed as a homerun but the fact he wasn’t resigned by the team means I can only value him as a triple. The rest didn’t really provide any value whatsoever in the grand scheme of things.

 

 

2015 draft –

 

Round 2 – Frank Clark                                     Homerun

Round 3 – Tyler Lockett                                   Triple

Round 4 - Terry Poole                                      Strike

Round 4 - Mark Glowinski                               Single

Round 5 - Tye Smith                                        Single

Round 6 - Obum Gwacham                            Strike  

Round 6 - Kristjan Sokoli                                 Strike

Round 7 - Ryan Murphy                                  Strike
 

Of those, 2 are still on the roster, 3 didn’t play a single season, 2 played in 1 season, 1 played in 3 seasons.

 

Strikes – 4

Singles – 2

Doubles – 0

Triples – 1

Homeruns – 1

 

You could make arguments either way for the 2015 draft. Getting two solid starters who are both likely to get extensions isn’t bad at all but missing on the other 6 is pretty costly for the team as a whole. “could have done better” rings true here.

 

2016 draft –

 

Round 1 – Germain Ifedi                                Double

Round 2 – Jarran Reed                                  Triple

Round 3 – C.J. Prosise                                   Double

Round 3 – Nick Vannett                                  Single

Round 3 – Rees Odhiambo                            Single

Round 5 – Quinton Jefferson                          Single

Round 5 – Alex Collins                                    Strike (for the Seahawks at least!)     

Round 6 – Joey Hunt                                      Single             

Round 7 – Kenny Lawler                                Strike

Round 7 – Zac Brooks                                    Strike

 

7 are still on the roster, 1 didn’t play a single season & 2 lasted a single season

 

Strikes – 3

Singles – 4

Doubles – 1

Triples – 1

Homeruns - 0

 

This is where it gets a bit harder to evaluate given each player has only been in the league for 2 seasons and may still be learning. For now I am giving them what I’d class as a fair grade given how they have performed to date, but some could easily see their grades increase this season dependant on how they perform. Ifedi, Prosise and Vannett are all players who could see big jumps in performance this season.

 

I’d say this draft is ‘to be confirmed’ however I don’t envision any homeruns. Jarran Reed seems the only possibility but he seems like a prime candidate that played well but will not be offered a second contract by the team.

 

2017 draft –

 

Round 2 – Malik McDowell                            Strike

Round 2 – Ethan Pocic                                  Double

Round 3 – Shaquill Griffin                              Triple

Round 3 – Delano Hill                                    Single

Round 3 – Nazair Jones                                Triple

Round 3 – Amara Darboh                              Single

Round 4 – Tedric Thompson                          Single

Round 6 – Mike Tyson                                    Single

Round 6 – Justin Senior                                 Strike

Round 7 – David Moore                                 Single

Round 7 – Chris Carson                                 Triple

 

Of the 11 players drafted in 2017, 10 remain on the roster which is promising. All these players were rookies last season but this draft class has shown some real potential and although there’s 5 singles right now, every single one of those could ‘move up’ to higher grades. I feel pretty optimistic about this draft as a whole, especially finding your RB1 or RB2 in the 7th round.

 

Strikes – 2

Singles – 5

Doubles – 1

Triples – 3

Homeruns - 0

 

 

 

So how have they stacked up overall over the course of the last 5 drafts?

 

Strikes – 18

Singles – 18

Doubles – 3

Triples – 7

Homeruns – 2

 

Considering the likes of Amara Darboh, Tedric Thompson, Delano Hill, Ethan Pocic, Nick Vannett and maybe even Germain Ifedi could make big jumps in 2018, I don’t think it’s fair to say the Seahawks have been as appalling in the draft as many would have you believe. Sure, for the most part 2013 and 2014 were truly awful. But 2015 had upside as well as 2016 and 2017 looking, on the surface, promising at the very least, I certainly don’t buy what the “JS can’t draft” crew are selling, and neither should you.

 

It will be interesting to see what JS does with the 2018 draft picks available to him and things will certainly get more interesting if a team does in fact give up a first round pick for Earl Thomas. That will certainly soften the blow or Seattle currently having a total of zero day 2 picks (round 2 and round 3). With their abundance of round 5 picks I can absolutely see a hefty trade up back into the later round 3 area with some of those picks, too. It’s also a given that pick 18 won’t be selected by the Seattle Seahawks, however it is yet to be determined if the team will leave the first round all together as they did last year or if they stick in the first and grab a third rounder as compensation for picking at the end of the round as opposed to the middle of the round.

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